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高事有事真的会,日本有大事,日本绝对会有大事的。大陆的官员做事有一个要点,言必行,行必果,他说到他一定会做到。中国大陆这个拳头啊,不但很大,而且会出很多拳。 所以我觉得日本人真的是高氏真的是帮日本人带来带来真的是战祸,还是不止战祸带来会让日本人会很很惨的。

hello, everyone and welcome to take note i'm huang, ziyuan today let's talk about the japanese prime minister sunataka, itchy now i've seen many reports about takaichi, some celebrate her as depends first female prime minister a trailblazer others frame her as arby's successor something she herself often plays up and of course there's the ultra conservative angle the far right idealock label warning she might brought back progress and destabilize east asia i get that they are important parts of her political brand and yes she does fit those descriptions but here's what i caution against predicting or analyzing her policies and actions solely through those lenses strip all that way what do you get a politician who once worked for someone with opposing views then turned to tv to build fame and name recognition entered electoral politics and spent over thirty years in the national diet, that's the japanese parliament someone who climbed to the top despite a shaky candidacy and now leads a minority government so beyond all the fanfare and headlines what we really see is a seasoned political operator with a weak domestic power base her top priority and it will remain so is consolidating her own power until she gets it looking strong will matter more than being strong what do i mean by that take last week's remarks one question about china's taiwan region she said if worships that chinese mainlands worships are used and other armed actions are involved i believe this could constitute a survival threatening situation she used that to argue japan's self defense force could then exercise limited collective self defense it made global headlines media outlets were quick to amplify the quote stirring up hype and speculation, but let me ask you this does that mean anything do you think in that scenario that she'd actually send japanese troops into direct military conflict with the chinese military let's not forget this is china in twenty twenty five not china in 1931 a seasoned politician like takaiji won t take that risk when she made those earlier remarks she was speaking to her parliament her domestic audience prices in japan are soaring society is on edge and her own coalition and her own party are divided on how to proceed as weak as her standing already is in the diet she can afford to show more cracks for her opponents to exploit so projecting strength is the only strength she has, but oh boy she picked the wrong bear the pocket chinese foreign ministry spokesperson linjian said in a press conference that her remarks were gravely inconsistent with the political commitments made by the japanese government and in nature and impact in plain terms that was being too faced and toxic this is a red line issue not something she can simply toy with and expect leniency she is punching way above her weight but this is what politicians like her do when they are weak or losing control whether that's causing up to donald trump getting intimate with other leaders as summits or playing up her admiration for margaritature and heavy metal all of that serves one purpose to look powerful and in control, but here's the thing true strength never needs to prove itself so am i worried she will suddenly shake up his station now, it's not about capability japan did it 80 years ago, but not now not with someone who's more about performance than power we can't let someone rock this boat just for their own interest and we won't let politicians use taiwan to make themselves look tough no provocation tolerate。


japan's new prime minister has only been in office for about a month how do you see this spat between china and japan over taiwan? this represents a significant change in japan's stance on taiwan up until now it's been rather ambiguous about what situations would be considered threatening japan's national survival and requiring self defense forces to be activated, but she has gone out and set it directly now takaichi has told the world that japan might be involved in a taiwan conflict and so this is a remark that china can't just ignore it has to escalate in response to japan's escalation and that's what we're seeing now a lot of words back and forth nothing in terms of action right now, but until now this ambiguity allowed for good trade relations to continue despite assumptions that japan really did have this stance on taiwan jeffrey, what makes taiwan such a delicate matter and and what has changed with the new administration in japan miss takaichi, she represents the hawkish wing of the ldp, japan's ruling party and she has long had very hawkish views on china as a threat to japan so this might be a reflection of what she wants to do with the country and certainly her supporters on the right will well welcome japan taking this open stance, but uh it's not clear what kind of damage this will actually do to the practical relations between the countries and there's a lot of historical baggage that goes with this topic of course a lot of animosity between japan and china having thought number wars in the past, uh could this depute possibly more about settling scores from the past partly it could there is the issue also of takaichi's own views on history where she holds revisionist views that the chinese government would consider abhorrent views that justify japan's wartime conduct or downplay the bad things that japan did during the war and so although she hasn't voiced these views since becoming prime minister chinese reactions to her remark about national survival and taiwan have been compared to japan in the 1930s saying that its military intervention an invasion of chinese territory was for the sake of national defense or survival and so this brings to mind this very dark history that has left wounds in china that the chinese government constantly mentions。



日本首相高氏扫描最近彻底成了搞事扫描,他日前在台湾问题上大放厥词,甚至暗示日本可能武力介入台海。这是日本战败以来,日本再任领导人,首次在台湾问题上表达试图武装介入的野心,引发了中国外交部的强烈抗议,并因此召见了日本驻华大使。 不过此番搅动台海,日本社会并未随他起舞,反而迅速爆发了反对声浪,因为他的无端挑衅,正在把日本重新拖回危险的旧轨道。总台记者在日本东京带来国际实训,马上平 这几天,日本国内反对高氏扫描社台言论的声音不断涌现。最新的批评之声来自刚刚卸任的前首相、自民党内部的石破帽,直言他的言论略全且危险, 对不对? 日本前首相鸠山游击夫早在高氏发表涉台言论的第二天,就发文批评他是在煽动危机,为破军找借口。 自民党温和派议员也担忧他引火烧身,破坏对华经济命脉,众多在野党也频频发生。日本政坛重要人物、历县明珠党议员小泽一郎直言,高适的行径极为危险, 认为他缺乏手相应有的责任意识和担当。日本东京新闻发表涉论指出,高适的言论违背了中日联合声明,这番鲁莽且轻率的言论, 无异于公开表示他将不惜同中国开战,身为首相,此举是不能被接受的。可以看出,反对不仅来自政界,也来自学界、媒体乃至企业。 因为日本国内谁都明白,高氏这番错误言论会让日本真正付出代价。台湾问题是中国核心利益中的核心,是不可触碰的红线和底线。高氏的涉台言论粗暴干涉中国内政,严重违背国际法和国际关系基本准则,严重破坏战后国际秩序, 严重违背一个中国原则和中日四个政治文件精神,严重破坏中日关系政治基础,严重伤害中国人民感情。但在中方的一再抗议之下,高氏却声称自己的发言符合政府既有见解,拒绝撤回,摆出一副要把日本几十年来外交计时撕个粉碎的模样。 讽刺的是,他很清楚日本宪法第九条的约束,也很清楚日本根本无权插手台海局势,却为了政治利益甘愿踩踏法律红线,把国家和平当空气,把原则当废纸。事实上, 高士的搞事体制从来不是临时起义,而是他政治生涯的底色。为了讨好安倍晋三和又一势力,他甘当唯一在八幺五参拜晋国神社的大臣。为了配合安倍修改历史, 鼓吹以安倍谈话取代代表战后共识的孙山谈话。为了获得权利,他可以毫不犹豫的放弃盟友原则信誉。他的政治路径既清晰又赤裸,不靠施政,不靠智力,只靠制造争议、煽动情绪、投机攀附。如今,作为首相,他依旧沿用过去的套路, 经济搞不定就炒作台湾问题,政权不稳固就扩大防卫预算,民生难改善就不断制造危机。他把日本政治当做舞台,拿日本的国运开玩笑,只为在权力的悬崖上多站一会, 谁说这个牛肉? 日本国内有舆论认为,高氏此番涉台言论,会让日本在国际上被视为挑衅者,破坏东亚稳定,他竭力将台湾问题硬绑在日本存亡叙事上,试图人为制造紧张氛围,以此误导舆论,为低迷的内革知识率注射遗迹危险的政治肾上腺素。 对高氏而言,与其沉迷搞事,不如先搞清楚如何让日本人过上更好的生活,否则,他的无端搞事终将遭到反噬,让日本最终付出沉重的代价。


中方对日方近期的军事安全动向感到严重关切。日本自我标榜为和平国家,宣扬建立无核武器世界,但高势政权却对无核三原则表态模糊,语言不详,暗示有可能放弃。 日方高官甚至声称不排除引进核潜艇。这些都充分暴露了日方政策的重大负面转向, 向国际社会释放出危险信号。二战期间,日本军国主义发动侵略战争,犯下严重反人类罪行,给地区和世界带来深重灾难。 近年来,日本大幅调整安保政策,逐年增加防卫运算,放宽武器出口限制,谋求发展进攻性武器, 在强军阔武的错误道路上越走越远。日本首相高氏扫描日前公然发表涉台的路虎挑衅言论,暗示武力介入台海可能性。日方的这一系列举动,不得不令亚洲灵武和普及社会产生强烈质疑, 担忧日方是否真的以同军国主义划清界限,日本政府是否真心坚持专守防卫和无核三原则,日方是否还会恪守和平发展承诺。今年是中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利八十周年,也是台湾光复八十周年。 我们敦促日方深刻反省侵略历史,坚持走和平发展道路,停止为自身扩张军力寻找借口,以实际行动取信于亚洲灵活和国际社会。