高市早苗为什么叫一个女人做

高市长描这个日本侦探一百四十年以来的首位女属相，仅仅上台二十多天，就向中国外交部发出两次强烈抗议，并且 中国外交部奉氏召见了日本驻华大使，他先是称呼台湾当局为总统府，后面呢，又暗示可能会武力介入台海。这位被称作安倍女孩的日本女首相，是如何登上权力的高峰？ 为什么他上台以后，内外交困的日本选择如此激进的对话政策？今天呢，我们就在夜观天象来简单聊一聊。刚是早苗刚刚当选的时候，很多人还把它看作是打破日本男性垄断政坛的先锋，而实际上哈，他其实是日本全面优清化、保守化的标志。 在一个女性国会议员比例长期不足百分之二十的国家，高适的这个成功更像是一种象征性的突破，因为 他本身就是日本保守的代表，政策主张上，他是反对夫妻的异性制度质疑呢，女性天皇的合理性，更致力于推动修线扩军。在他当选国会议员的时候，就曾经多次参拜晋国神社。 在这种情况之下呢，高氏扫描担任手相的这种进步意义可以说是几乎没有。这样一个政治人物是如何在内外皆困的日本政局登顶的呢？ 首先呢，告示找苗的这个上台，其实是日本长时间酝酿的结果，他能走到今天，靠的是日本政治生态里的这种保守土壤。日本政治一直是一个派系的世界，类似这种门伐政治 大的政治家，更多的靠的是出身，例如鸠山家族、安贝家族，而高氏呢，来自安贝家族。我们知道日本呢，第一大党是自民党，这个党呢 表面上呢他是一家，其实里面呢，分成了好几个山头，每一个山头呢，有各自政策主张，以及他们的这个资金人脉和选区网络。四名党里面主要有六大拍戏，很多都是从二战结束以后就已经建立了， 他们长期控制着日本的政坛。高氏扫描背后的靠山呢，就是自民党里最大最有权势的派系之一。安贝派也叫清河政策研究会， 安倍派呢，是代表着自民党类的最保守的一个派系，而高氏呢，又是这个最保守派系的最右翼的那一部分， 最大的特点呢就是强烈的民族主义和保守主义倾向，以及追求修现和对话强硬。除了安倍派之外，第二个呢是暗田派，也叫红词汇，这是自民党里传统的温和派， 他们呢相对就是比较务实的外交政策，财政方面更加的稳健，算是相对比较清华的派系，像我们熟悉的这个前首相按天文雄就属于这个派系。那么第三个派系呢，就是马生派，也叫制工会。这个派系呢，在经济上呢，是主张这个 财政纪律，在外交上呢，偏向青美，但是呢并不是非常激进的青美，而代表人物呢就是前手相马生太郎。第四个呢就是这个冒木派，也叫平城研究会，他们呢主打务实和协调，追求经济增长与稳定， 非常重视经贸关系。还有呢就是我们听过的这个二阶派和石破派相对影响力就小的多，手相的产生主要还是由于这些拍戏之间的名侦暗斗和内部交易而产生的，谁能得到更多的 拍戏支持，谁就有可能成为手相。高射长苗能够胜出呢，靠的就是安倍派强大的资源和动员能力。所以呢，他并不是进步的先锋者，而只是保守派推出来的一个木偶， 没有他还会有别人，只不过这次换成了一张女性的面孔。他的当选呢，是日本保守政治的一次重新包装，延续了原有的权利逻辑。在政策风格上，他也延续了安倍牌所有的这个民族主义的色彩，以及修线的主张。高市长掌描，他是主张修线， 尤其是希望修改和平宪法第九条，让日本自卫队在法律层面上成为国防军，这个是日本保守派的核心的想要推动的 it， 也是和日本的自由派分歧当中最大的地方。他还多次谈到要强化日本的防卫能 能力，提高国防预算。在经济上呢，他是主张比较激进的这个货币政策的，强调刺激经济，强化经济安全，而在对话立场上是相对强硬的。 因为呢，在上任前他就公开说了日本必须在东海和台湾问题上保持警惕。而上任后，我们也看到了他在台湾问题上不断的在挑衅中国。当时找苗已是主张以美日同盟为 这个日本的安全战略的这个核心的，他把同美国的关系呢放在极其重要的位置。高射的这种立场与安倍的战略几乎是一脉相承的。不过他与安倍相比，在言辞表达上是更多的喜欢把价值理念等表面上好看的词汇放在外交主张上。 在亚太地源政治格局不断变化的今天，日本选出了这样一位极又异的手相，毫无疑问的会增加亚太地区不稳定的因素，会给我们的这个周边安全环境带来极大的挑战。

hello， everyone and welcome to take note i'm huang， ziyuan today let's talk about the japanese prime minister sunataka， itchy now i've seen many reports about takaichi， some celebrate her as depends first female prime minister a trailblazer others frame her as arby's successor something she herself often plays up and of course there's the ultra conservative angle the far right idealock label warning she might brought back progress and destabilize east asia i get that they are important parts of her political brand and yes she does fit those descriptions but here's what i caution against predicting or analyzing her policies and actions solely through those lenses strip all that way what do you get a politician who once worked for someone with opposing views then turned to tv to build fame and name recognition entered electoral politics and spent over thirty years in the national diet， that's the japanese parliament someone who climbed to the top despite a shaky candidacy and now leads a minority government so beyond all the fanfare and headlines what we really see is a seasoned political operator with a weak domestic power base her top priority and it will remain so is consolidating her own power until she gets it looking strong will matter more than being strong what do i mean by that take last week's remarks one question about china's taiwan region she said if worships that chinese mainlands worships are used and other armed actions are involved i believe this could constitute a survival threatening situation she used that to argue japan's self defense force could then exercise limited collective self defense it made global headlines media outlets were quick to amplify the quote stirring up hype and speculation， but let me ask you this does that mean anything do you think in that scenario that she'd actually send japanese troops into direct military conflict with the chinese military let's not forget this is china in twenty twenty five not china in 1931 a seasoned politician like takaiji won t take that risk when she made those earlier remarks she was speaking to her parliament her domestic audience prices in japan are soaring society is on edge and her own coalition and her own party are divided on how to proceed as weak as her standing already is in the diet she can afford to show more cracks for her opponents to exploit so projecting strength is the only strength she has， but oh boy she picked the wrong bear the pocket chinese foreign ministry spokesperson linjian said in a press conference that her remarks were gravely inconsistent with the political commitments made by the japanese government and in nature and impact in plain terms that was being too faced and toxic this is a red line issue not something she can simply toy with and expect leniency she is punching way above her weight but this is what politicians like her do when they are weak or losing control whether that's causing up to donald trump getting intimate with other leaders as summits or playing up her admiration for margaritature and heavy metal all of that serves one purpose to look powerful and in control， but here's the thing true strength never needs to prove itself so am i worried she will suddenly shake up his station now， it's not about capability japan did it 80 years ago， but not now not with someone who's more about performance than power we can't let someone rock this boat just for their own interest and we won't let politicians use taiwan to make themselves look tough no provocation tolerate。