乌克兰总统泽连斯基27号去美国吗

这两天咱们忙着批评日本首相高氏扫描错误言论，但是额屋冲突这边发生了一件大事，咱们加班加点也得给家人们讲清楚。美国提出结束额屋冲突的二十八点计划，而且希望乌克兰能够在二十七日，也就是感恩节前接受这个计划， 这是不是想让特朗普总统能在感恩节宣布上全世界的头条？我给大家总结了一下，这是特朗普交易的艺术再次上演，欧洲会疯狂反对这份二十八点计划，乌克兰口头奉承，但是背地里搞拒绝二十八点和平方案恐怕难以落实。 这些观点我会一一详细展开，我是徐帆，接大白话讲给你听。二十三日，白宫发布了一份美物联合声明，说美国和乌克兰在日内瓦开了一场建设性取得进展的会，就美国的二十八点计划进行讨论，起草了一份更新和完善后的和平框架协议。 这二十八点写的到底是什么？为什么能引起这么大的震动？最初版本的二十八点一公布啊，就引起了巨大的争议。西方有不少声音甚至认为，这个计划该不会是俄罗斯写的吧， 里面有很多的内容都是偏向俄罗斯的立场。这个二十八点计划是比较复杂的，我为大家做了简化，主要几个核心的问题，一是领土的安排，二是乌克兰的安全保证，三是投资和责任司机的命运。 最关注的领土问题啊，美方的意思就是要让乌克兰接受巨大的领土让步，因为领土的安排比较晦涩。我在海外找了这张地图， 主要方便大家理解，不代表实际情况和我国的立场。简单的说，按照二十八点计划的第二十一点说明，克林米亚盾、聂刺客、鲁班斯克都被承认是事实上是俄罗斯的赫尔松扎波罗热按照接触线冻结，俄罗斯放弃其他控制 的领土，吴军从其目前控制盾业磁刻周的部分地区撤出，该撤离区将被视为非军事缓冲局。要知道俄罗斯当时搞特别军事行动的目标就是解放乌东四周的人民，按照这个领土方案，几乎就是就地停战，然后谁占了地归谁。第二个问题，安全保证。 八十八点是这么规定的，乌克兰会得到自己想要的安全保障。欧洲国家在波兰部署战机，但是乌克兰军队规模要被限制在六十万人以内，乌克兰承诺不会加入北约，北约不在乌克兰驻军，俄罗斯不入侵邻国，北约不在东阔， 这是不是写到了俄罗斯的心坎上了？要知道俄国冲突爆发了一个重要原因就是北约东扩威胁了俄罗斯的国家安全。第三个问题，钱和泽联司机按照美国的计划解除对俄罗斯的制裁，然后把一千亿美元俄罗斯被冻 冻结的资产用于乌克兰的重建，美国主导，然后收益的百分之五是归美国，乌克兰在一百天内举行选举，按照现在的情况，昨天司机下台的可能性极高， 这个计划被曝光后，乌克兰几乎没有可能接受，这太丧权辱国了。但是泽林司机没有办法，按照他的话说，要么失去尊严，要么失去一个关键伙伴。 特朗普已经再次施压了，如果能签署这个协议，那是大功一件，特朗普必须要拿下。不过我个人觉得这个计划曝光的美国版本大概率不会是最终版本。按照特朗普交易的艺术，如果特朗普想要取得十点的成功，他就会先提出二十八点， 到时候乌克兰妥协祭奠，欧洲妥协祭奠，最终达成一个所谓的和平计划。所以啊，里面条款现在还有极限施压的成分，一定程度上是可以修改，妥协的则连司机上次被白宫赶出去之后啊， 聪明了很多。面对特朗普的方案，口头上说是外交进程全面加速，实际上武汉抓紧联系欧洲搞破坏，让这个方案尽可能有利于自己。 我个人觉得乌克兰现在套路就是对特奥普扬凤应为，而且我们注意到欧洲已经开始疯狂的破坏这个和平方案了，欧洲领导人非常的愤怒。德国领导人莫此表示，美国提出了二十八点新计划，方案中有关财政的安排的核心内容不可接受， 美国无权动用被冻结在欧盟境内的俄罗斯央行资产，因为这些钱原本是欧洲准备买武器援助乌克兰的，欧洲提出的方案里，乌克兰军队人数的上限也提升到了八十万。关于乌克兰是否加入北约，欧洲方面玩起了文字游戏， 说乌克兰是否加入北约取决于北约成员国的共识，现在共识不存在。为啥不用美国乌克兰同意不加入北约的表述呢？说明 欧洲还是要婉尊的，而且留了个活口，关于领土问题也是大幅山改，从美国四个小点直接变成一句行混的话，乌克兰承诺不使用军事手段恢复备战领土，领土交换谈判从接触线开始。我认为这些表述，欧洲已经事实上准备承认讹占领土了， 但是表述上留下活口，为乌克兰将来可能再次夺回领土留下余地，换个角度看，也是为将来的冲突再次爆发埋下了祸根。这事倒让人想起英国曾经干过的够等，在克什米尔地区随意画下一根线，让巴基斯坦和印度一直打到今天。 所以这份二十八点方案我觉得根本不是什么和平方案，而且实施起来也非常有难度。只不过分析各方利弊的时候，我们回过头来再看看格物冲突打了三年多，最后美国人拿到利益，俄罗斯拿到领土，欧洲和乌克兰人拿到了什么？ 是荣耀吗？我相信啊，大家自会明辨。回头看看，这一路血战到底是为了什么？国际政治中，小国常常是大国博弈的代价，而非操盘的骑手。这或许是血战三年带来最冷酷的教训。

i'm ready to meet with president trump and there are sensitive points to discuss we have them still and we think that the presence of european leaders could be helpful today we also worked with ukrainian negotiating teams on the text of the document developed with the united states in geneva， the principals of this document can be developed to deeper agreements i expect well what happened he didn't put visit you i don't know he would like to come， but i think we should get a deal done first。

what what do you？ what do you？ what do you mean？ i'm talking about the kind of diplomacy that's gonna end the destruction of your country at mr president mr president with respect i think it's just respectful for you to come to the oval office try to litigate this in front of the american media right now you guys are going around and forcing conscripts to the front lines because you have manpower problems you should be thanking the president for me to bring it into this conflict we have been to your crane that you say what problems we have i have been to come one i've actually， i've actually watched and seen the stories and i know what happens is you bring people you bring them on a propagandatory mister president are do you disagree that you've had problems bringing people in your military and do you think that is respectful to come to the oval office of the united states of america and attack the administration that is trying to prevent the destruction a lot of a lot of questions let's start from the beginning sure first of all during the war everybody has problems even you， but you have nice ocean and don't feel now but you will feel it in the future god bless you don't know that bless you don't know that bless you will not have a war don't tell us what we're gonna feel we're trying to solve a problem don't tell us what we're gonna feel i'm not telling you because you're in no position to dictate that we're in no position to dictate what we're gonna feel we're gonna feel very good we're gonna feel very good and very strong you're right now not in a very good position you've allowed you to be in a very bad position and it happens to be right about you're not in a good position you don't have the cards right now with us you start， you're gambling with world war iii you're gambling with world war iii and what you're doing is very disrespectful to the country this country that's back to you far more than a lot of people said they should have have you said thank you once this entire video you said thank you you went to pennsylvania in campaign for the opposition in october offers some words of appreciation for the united states of america and the president who's trying to save your country please you think that if you will speak very loudly about the war you can he's not speaking loudly， he's not speaking loudly your country is in big trouble no， no you've done a lot of talking your country is in big trouble i know you're not winning you're not winning this you have a damn good chance of coming out okay， because of president we are staying in our country staying strong from the very beginning of the world we've been alone and we are sankal i said thanks you haven't been alone we gave you through the stupid president 350 billion dollars we gave you military equipment and you met a brave but they had to use our military if you didn't have our military equipment if you didn't have our military equipment this world would have been over in two weeks in three days i heard it from putin in three days this is some maybe less in two weeks of course yes， it's gonna be a very hard thing to do business like this i can tell you to say thank you i said except the american except that there are disagreements and let's go litigate those disagreements rather than trying to fight it out of the american media when you're wrong we know that you're wrong but you see i think it's good for the american people to see what's going on i think it's very important that's why i kept this going so long you have to be thankful you don't have the cards you're buried there you you people are dying you're running low on soldiers don't listen you're running low on soldiers it would be a damn good thing and then you can then you tell us i don't wanna cease fire i don't wanna cease fire i wanna go and i want this i look if you could get a ceasefire right now i tell you you take it so the bullets stop flying and you meant stuff getting killed of course we want to stop the war but i'm saying you don't want to cease fire i want a ceasefire because you'll get a ceasefire faster than it agrees us can't work people about ceasefire what they think that wasn't with me that wasn't with me that was with a guy named biden who was not a smart person that was with obama excuse me that was with obama who gave you sheets and i gave you javelins yes， i gave you the javelins to take out all those tanks obama gave you sheets in fact the statement is obama gave sheets and trump gave javelins you gotta be more thankful because let me tell you you don't have the cards with us you have the cards but without us you don't have any cards。

泽联司机一根筋变成两头堵了美国传来最后通迭后，乌克兰上下沸腾，欧洲集体炸裂，绝不同意投资打水漂。关键时刻，泽联司机收到钱外长最强警告，只要敢签，就是历史的罪人，连总统之位都保不住。 没办法的泽联司机只好再去美国向特朗普求情。 战争打了三年多，泽联司机现在真的是穷途末路了。美俄私下达成磋商共识，但这次的谈判桌上却没有欧盟和乌克兰 双方私下磋商一个月，达成了一份方案，并要求泽联司机在限期内签署协议。但是顺从美国带来的后果比拒绝美国更加严重。美屋再次谈崩了，乌克兰前外长库列巴更是直言警告泽联司机敢签， 签字，总统位置也就做到头了，甚至可能是物理层面的抹除。那么这份协议内容究竟是什么？泽联司机拒绝签字，是否会彻底激怒特朗普呢？综合多家媒体报道，美屋双方在日内瓦的谈判已经告一段落， 尽管泽联司机当天表示会谈取得了阶段性成果，巫方已经开始制定结束冲突需要的步骤，但结果真正出炉之后，外界才意识到，美巫依旧谈崩了。 这份丧权辱国的和平协议，责令司机不敢签。说是不敢，其实更多的是不能签。 按照协议内容，乌克兰将面临割让领土、限制军备、无法加入北约和获得安全承诺的困境，这放在二战时期完全就是战败国的待遇。尽管乌克兰民众渴望和平，但整个乌克兰社会却并没有做好投降的准备，更何况 是这样的屈辱协议，作为乌克兰总统，泽联司机签字与否都面临着巨大的难题。乌克兰钱外长库列巴在接受媒体采访时表示，如果仅仅是为了满足西方的立场而签字，这对泽联司机来说已经不是政治自杀了，而是物理自杀。 这并非危言耸听，因为二十八点和平计划中的一项条款内容是，协议生效后，乌克兰必须在一百天内举行选举。输掉战争意味着泽联司机不可能继续参加总统选举，所以签字就等于结束他的政治生命。 而一旦失去了乌克兰总统的身份，他将面临更多的危险。一方面，俄屋冲突打了三年多，乌军伤亡人数虽然没有公布，但保守估计不会低于七十万人。在这种情况下，这些阵亡士兵的家属固然痛恨俄罗斯，但更痛恨爆发这场战争的源头泽联司机。 如果不是他听信西方蛊惑，频繁挑衅俄罗斯，俄屋冲突就不会出现。所以，战争结束之后，泽莲司机这个罪魁祸首或许会面临来自底层民众的愤怒，人身安全遭受威胁是肯定的。另一方面，乌克兰贪腐问题非常严重， 二十八点和平计划的发布时间也非常巧妙，这让泽联司机面临巨大的贪腐压力，其中还包括泽联司机的亲密商业盟友，甚至是家人朋友。 目前尚无直接证据证明泽联司机与贪腐案存在关联，但是士兵家属领不到抚恤金，国家运转变得困难。美欧此前提供了大量的财政和武器装备支持，钱都去哪了？ 在这种情况下，特朗普向泽联司机施压，乌克兰反贪部门也开始出手。就算泽联司机配合调查，但卸任总统之后， 他的政治价值就变得非常低，很有可能会被新任总统当做民分的宣泄口进行清算，牢狱之灾在所难免。所以说，泽联司机妥协顺从特朗普的结果，要比拒绝签字的结果风险高很多， 那么他自然不会签字，拿自己的性命开玩笑。或许在俄屋冲突爆发前两年，泽联斯基还是风光无限，出入美、英、法、德等西方重要国家进行演讲， 西方国家也出于政治利益无底线的捧他的阶段，让泽莲司机的名字全球皆知。然而当初捧的多高，现在就摔得多惨。现在泽莲司机就像一个梳红眼的赌徒，签字意味着他会成为乌克兰的民族罪人，小命不保 不签字，乌克兰前途渺茫，也看不到任何生机。总的来说，泽联斯基的艰难抉择，真实反映了小国家的悲哀。他们夹在大国博弈之间充当棋子，却在价值被榨干后无情抛弃，这是帝园博弈的残酷，也是战火纷飞的残酷。

乌克兰彻底变天了，基府遭狂轰烂炸之际，一枚炸弹在泽联司机身边爆炸，这位执政超六年的战士总统，真的就要走到自己生命的尽头。俄屋冲突还没结束，基府高层的命运却迎来终局， 这一次泽联司机真的跳进帝聂伯河也难洗清了。 当地时间十一月二十九日，乌克兰首都基府发生多起大爆炸，毫无疑问，这是来自莫斯科的每日问候， 俄军出动了多架战机，对机斧发射了巡航导弹。但是这一次伴随着物理炸弹同时炸响的，还有埋藏在泽联司机身边的定时炸弹。就在俄军轰炸的前一天，也就是二十八日，乌克兰总统泽联司机的 得力干将、总统办公室主任安德烈伊尔马克因深陷多桩贪腐案丑闻宣布引就辞职。同一时间，乌克兰国家反腐败局和特别反腐检察院对伊尔马克展开了同步搜查。很显然， 乌克兰的反腐风暴已经刮到了泽联司机的头上。从能源部长斯伟特兰纳格林丘克与司法部长赫尔曼加卢仙科十一月十日被爆出涉嫌洗钱非法敛财近一亿美元后， 到十二日两人一起辞职，再到十九日乌克兰议会罢免两人职务，这场能源领域的腐败 就似乎注定了要将基础的高层搅个天翻地覆。而当时便有消息传出，伊尔马克已经卷入其中，而且是深度参与者。这位当年倾力支持泽联司机上位， 并且在此后的几年中，从总统助理到总统办公室主任的乌克兰权力体系的核心人物，终究是倒在了贪腐面前，老师说，乌克兰军政高层的贪腐问题其实并不值得奇怪。 早在二零二三年的时候，西方媒体时不时的就会揭露巫君的高级将领将西方直接提供给巫君的武器弹药 拿到黑市上倒卖之后，转手换成钱装进自己的腰包里。另外，据乌克兰前财政部官员透露，在二零二三年到二零二四年间，乌克兰接收的西方援助总额高达八百九十亿美元， 但其中超过三分之一的资金由总统办公室批准使用，而其中一部分资金被只流入与泽联司机家族关联的建筑公司，而非用于基础设施重建等实际项目。这么看起来，这位战事总统跟 董王倒是有几分相像，毕竟都是喜欢炒房地产的。不过现在董王更新迭代了，不仅炒房，他还开始炒股了，而且是以全世界做基本盘，而且苍蝇不叮无缝的蛋，千里大堤也不是添垮他的。到了今年八月份， 土耳其一家媒体又爆料，泽联司机通过其家族控制的离岸公司，每月向中东地区转移巨额资金，且最后极有可能落入其子女名下。紧接着在这前后又发生了两件大事，一件发生在七月份， 泽联司机试图在议会强行通过法案，更改国家反腐败局和特别反腐败检察官办公室的职权，并将其置于自己的控制下。结果，自二零二二年俄屋冲突爆发以来，很少闹 造势的乌克兰民众在短短的一天之内就聚集了上百万人，在乌克兰的多个城市发起了抗议游行。再加上欧洲以反腐达标是乌方加入欧盟门槛为由施压， 这才迫使泽莲司机不得不撤回法案。第二件则是发生在十月，美国共和党籍众议员安娜卢娜在接受采访时披露了一则惊人消息，称乌克兰总统泽莲司机每月向沙特的一家银行转账约五千万美元，还暗示这或许涉及洗钱行为， 甚至与某些美国政客存在关联。这件事一出，外界舆论立刻沸腾了，一部分强调泽联司机政府早就不干净了。另外一部分人则认为这条消息是俄罗斯媒体曝光的，可信度并不高，只不过是当下的舆论战罢了。但是现在一切的只 指控兜兜转转又回到了泽联司机身上，那泽联司机就绝不可能干净的像一张白纸。只不过，在乌克兰当前所处的环境中，贪腐，尤其是能源领域的贪腐，那真的是十恶不赦，民众都在忍饥挨饿，可有些乌克兰高官却住着豪宅， 而且有的人甚至坐拥四套豪宅，马桶都是纯金打造。泽联司机政府却闹出了这么一大桩丑闻，所有的矛头势必会指向那个男人。而同样的场景，隐身出来的另外一番道理是， 贪腐往往也是政治斗争击败对手最有效的手段。对泽联司机而言，这事实上已经可以看作是一场针对他的权利颠覆运动，因为当他身边的亲戚都被拔掉之后，自己也就被架空了，接下来就是对付他本人了。这 一点美国现在已经在座了。据悉，美国方面正在对一桩涉及四百八十亿美元的资金去向问题展开秘密调查，而核心涉案人员之一便是泽联司机。至于欧洲这边，其实也有所动作， 因为在乌克兰反腐战场上大杀四方的那两个机构，本就是二零一四年乌克兰内部政权更迭的产物，而且秘密接受欧盟的指导。所以这场反腐行动究竟针对的是官员的贪腐， 还是泽联斯基，现在还很难说。不过在俄屋充足的大背景下，尤其是在美屋各出了一版和平协议，但各自立场却有大相径庭的情况下， 泽联司机的身边人被拿住尾巴，这背后很多东西已经不需要说的太明白，至少泽联司机这回就算不死，也要脱层皮。

i'm ready to meet with president trump and there are sensitive points to discuss we have them still and we think that the presence of european letters could be helpful today we also work with the ukrainian associated team the text of the document developed with the united states in geneva principles of this document can be developed to deeper agreements i expect well， we're happy， so let's get to come visit you i don't know he'd like to come， but i think we should get a deal done first。

president's olympics said today that his country would risk either giving up his partner or giving up his dignity there's been criticism that this deal even he doesn't like it saras audience navashik， momentive national history zarathisk， no crane ordin， snywash， zara， zucrana， mojo， benedicia， paritusi， claudenin， vibram， above， trata， heatness， aborizic， stratting， culutrable partner， abose collecting advantage vision ponktiff， above， crybash， kazuma， nivasha， it's unclear he'll have to like it and if he doesn't like it then you know they should just keep fighting i guess you know the suggestion that he made though was that if he doesn't accept it that the us would pull back its support for your crane well at some point he's gonna have to accept something you know yes it accepted you remember right in the oval office not so long ago i said you don't have the cards you don't have the cards but once we sign that deal you're in a much better position but you're not acting it all thankful and that's not a nice thing i'll be honest that's not a nice thing。