特朗普亲口承认美国陷入困境,但没有一个盟友愿意挺身而出,全都袖手旁观。近日,特朗普在一个记者会上公开抱怨,直言美国如今已困难重重,需要帮助,但是美国的盟友们没有一个愿意站出来为美国提供支援。 这位美国总统此番抱怨的背景是,近期他要求日本、韩国、英国、德国等许多盟友伙伴国派出军舰前往中东海域,辅助美国进行军事行动,但这些国家全都表示了拒绝,没有一个答应帮忙的,甚至连最忠诚的韩日都罕见的不遵从特朗普的旨意了。 当前因为该海域的石油要道被封锁,全球油价大涨,美国即将面临严重的经济冲击。 角大楼发现单靠美军自己无法扭转这种战争格局,因此计划拉拢全球范围内的美国盟友来打通这条生命线级别的海峡。而这些盟友拒绝的理由很明显,去参加这场军事行动就是一道送命题。 号称全球最强军事实力的美国都不敢派出哪怕一艘舰船尝试通过海峡,却要求盟友来下场,意图分明是让这些国家充当垫背送死的角色。因此局面依然还在僵持中。能源危机与价格大涨所带来的冲击,也使得美国陷入一种可预见的经济危机中。 据华尔街日报消息,美联储即将依据原本计划召开议息会议,建于战争所带来的刺激负面影响。关于是否执行此前的降息计划,将成为美联储近五年来面临的最艰难的决策问题。 美国商务部为降息划定的通胀安全指标为百分之二,但目前实际情况远高于这个数字。因此,美联储面临的最直观的问题就是,要么选择冒险一搏,为了盘活经济,赌一把通胀家具的危险来进行降息。要么选择保守的方式维持现有的基准利率。 但这样做会因预期承诺的丧失使美元体系失去信誉,对投资者的判断决策产生负面影响,从而进一步导致美国市场循环的僵化。对美联储影响最大的决策因子就是战争导致的油价上涨问题。 这场困境的最终买单人还是美国的民间企业与个人,被迫承受着手中资金购买力缩水贬值的现状。美联储一旦在当前的特殊时间点选择了降息,大量的活跃资产就会涌向石油等领域, 极容易导致能源市场出现经济泡沫的现象,并造成大量的投资者负债。如果这个界限失衡,就将会以多米诺骨牌般的连锁反应引起金融界地震级别的灾难。 这是如今已经产业空心化且找不到内循环出路的美国所不能承受的后果。为了平稳已经失衡的能源市场,特朗普政府在日前组织了一次大规模的石油储存释放。 美国能源部长莱特表示,国际能源数三十二个成员国已经同意在未来的一百二十天内,按照预判你定的周期进行四亿桶石油的释放。 值得注意的一点是,特朗普本人曾对此很不满,他认为这种行为就是在证明美国被这场战争反噬了,但市场的客观运转规律不容特朗普个人胡诌八扯,因此,美国政府内部人士经过研判后,紧急同意了释放石油储备。 战争的影响是非常直观的,更加难以预判的经济隐患在于美联储内部的犹豫。在一月时,曾有美国官员表示,希望美联储能够在表述中删去关于降息的议事。 此举标志着上层对市场的预判较为负面,也暗示着宽松周期的结束。市场的反应非常敏感。根据亚特兰大联储的期权数据显示,认为会降息的概率环比战争开始前下降了百分之二十七,只有加息预测的概率则提升了同样是百分之二十七的比例。 因此,美联储若是维持当前的基准利率或者是加息,都将会进一步江化本就如一滩沼泽的美国市场若是降息,那就是用美国未来的金融崩溃的危险在赌眼前的经济刺激。 这场一息会议注定会成为美联储的一次重大考验。对美国来说,目前唯一有希望改善经济困境的只能是打通这条因战争封锁了的石油生命线,否则市场预判注定会始终处于动荡中,承受不起任何风吹草动,就算是白宫也没有任何办法平息这种担忧。 在美国内部也有人展示了这种观点。前白宫能源顾问麦克纳利表示,如果这条海峡持续关闭,那么美国将不会有任何政策解决方案来应对能源危机。 现在白宫所有的办法,包括石油储备的释放以及所谓的护航,全都是在作秀。这次特朗普已经对局势毫无解决手段了,他在抱怨韩国、德国这些盟友不给力的同时,也夹杂着对自己当初贸然开展的后悔。 就算他本人依然嘴硬,但频繁的提及结束战争,以及不断的强调美国不怕持久战,这些颠三倒四、互相矛盾的观点,也将其内心的真实想法暴露无疑。
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we strongly encourage you other nations to get involved with us and get involved quickly and with great enthusiasm i have that from a number of them and i'd like to say their names but frankly i don't know if they would want me to or not because uh maybe they don't want to be targeted, but i say wouldn't matter if you target it or not because this is a paper tiger that we're dealing with now it wasn't a paper tiger, two weeks ago it's a paper tiger now some are very enthusiastic about it and some are in some countries that we've helped for many many years we protected them from horrible outside sources and they weren't that enthusiastic and the level enthusiasm it matters to me we have some countries where we have forty five thousand soldiers, great soldiers protecting them from harm's way and we have done a great job and when we want to know do you have any mind sweepers well, would would would rather not get involved? sir, i said for you mean for forty years we're protecting you and you don't want to get involved in something that is very minor and i've always felt that was a weakness of nato we were gonna protect them, but i always said when in need they won't protect us now this is in need need would be one of the big boys, but i will say that we built the greatest military in the world and we protect people and if we need their mind boats or if we need ah anything any piece of apparatus that they may have because of a situation that they have ah they should be jumping to help us, cause we've helped them for years stay out of wars。

中国终于出手,顶级扬镳,特朗普彻底无解!美国求遍全球盟友,派军舰护航霍尔木兹海峡, 所有的盟友小弟,日韩法澳全都公开拒绝,没人愿意当炮灰。就在特朗普气急败坏,孤立无援的关键时刻,中国却果断出手, 如此顶级扬镳,一招东方智慧,直接让特朗普彻底破防, 这一局,美国输定了!我们一起来看!综合环球网等媒体报道,中东冲突第十五天,美国就已经撑不住了。 特朗普先是在社交媒体公开喊话,强迫中日韩英法等国立刻派军舰进入霍尔木兹海峡执行护航任务,甚至放出狠话,不出兵就等着承担严重后果。 可现实狠狠打脸,没有一个国家响应他的要求。法国、澳大利亚直接公开拒绝,日本更是罕见硬气回怼,明确表示没有派军舰前往中东的计划。然而, 高士扫描这一趟访美,竟然被绑在了战车上!不去?不去也给你绑战车上! 就在美国被盟友集体打脸的时候,三月十七号,中国外交部正式宣布重大决定, 向伊朗、约旦、黎巴嫩、伊拉克这四个冲突承压最重、难民最多、人道危机最紧急的中东国家提供紧急的人道主义援助。 一边是美国满世界拱火递刀,逼盟友下场扛雷,一边是中国送医送粮救民于水火,全力劝和促谈,鲜明对比,一目了然。 那么为什么美国的盟友全都敢拒绝?根本原因很简单,无力可图,风险滔天。美国自己都自身难保,还想让我们去当炮灰?门都没有!看看伊朗已经变成战神, 把美国拖入战争泥潭,连以色列都被追着打,福特和航母紧急后撤, 谁贸然下场,谁就是炮灰啊!更何况,特朗普精于算计,就算打赢了盟友,也分不到半点好处,这种赔本又送命的买卖没人愿意做。 更关键的是,世界各国已经看清美以的真实底色,强导众人推,就算不派兵,美国也没能力再搞个三线施压。而中国这一次精准出手,正是戳中了美国最大的软肋, 也让特朗普彻底破防。中国的援助让伊朗的抵抗更有底气。中国一边派特使握拳,一边送物资救援。双轨介入中东局势,让这场冲突从美国单边操控转向多级化调解, 美国再也无法一手遮天。最绝的是,中国站在人道与和平的制高点,用道义碾压美国的军事霸权,美国想指责都找不出理由,只能憋到破房。 从美军不断受挫,到盟友集体冷眼,再到中国仗义出手,人心向背早已清晰。霸权强权终究不得人心,公道正义才是世界主流。 中国以人道暖四方,用智慧护和平,这才是大国该有的担当。得道多助,失道寡助,美国正在急速下落,而中国正在冉冉升起。让我们一起为伟大的祖国点赞!

we strongly encourage the other nations to get involved with us and get involved quickly and with great enthusiasm uh, i have that from a number of them and i'd like to say the names, but frankly i don't know if they would want me to or not because uh maybe they don't want to be targeted, but i say wouldn't matter if you're targeted or not because this is a paper tiger that we're dealing with now it wasn't a paper tiger two weeks ago, it's a paper tiger now some are very enthusiastic about it and some are in some countries that we've helped for many many years。

特朗普这回是真破防了,全世界仿佛都在备刺塔,让我们一起来细数最近让特朗普崩溃的大事。首先呢,是霍尔木兹海峡被伊朗一卡,国际油价蹭蹭涨。特朗普急了,先是喊话美国海军赶紧派军舰去护航,结果海军告诉他,对不起,没船了。 自己人指望不上,那就找小弟吧。他转头就喊话英国、法国、德国、日本、韩国这些盟友,你们得派军舰来帮忙啊!结果您猜怎么着?这帮小弟一个个都跟商量好了似的,回复出奇的一致,对不起,不去, 给老头气的够呛啊,三月十六号在白宫公开抱怨,我保护了你们四十年,四十年啊,花了多少钱你们知道吗?结果让你们帮这么点小忙,推三阻四,太不仗义了, 抱怨完了还得强装镇定说我们美国强大的很,不需要你们,我喊你们来就是做个忠诚度的测试,结果你们果然都靠不住, 最绝的来了。就在特朗普被盟友轮流打脸气得够呛的时候,美国财政部长贝森特站出来说了句话,直接把所有人都整蒙了。他说,美国允许伊朗游轮通过霍尔木兹海峡,以便向世界其他地区供应石油。 啥意思?何止你不护航,直接宣布是我让你们出来的,只要船出来了,不管是谁家的,都算我赢了。 这波操作真的是赢麻了。这头特朗普还在生闷气呢,那边更扎心的消息来了,加拿大、挪威、瑞典、丹麦、芬兰、冰岛这六个国家 三月十五号聚在一起,高调宣布要生化、国防经济合作,加强北极安全,还要通过联合军演提升能力。任建明说了,这就是要减少对美国的依赖,组建中等强国联盟。不给你美国当新生品了, 你看特朗普一顿操作猛如虎,又是要加拿大,又是惦记格林兰,结果把自己给弄丢了。现在可倒好,喊人护航没人来,小弟们还自己开始组团玩了。这总统当的真的是让全世界都开了眼。


欧洲国家拒绝出兵霍尔穆兹海峡,激怒了美国总统特朗普。暴跳如雷的特朗普对欧洲火力全开抨击。英国首相斯塔默无能,称法国总统马克龙领导无力,将会很快下台。 特朗普愤怒表示,美国军事力量在保护欧洲大陆的安全,在保护韩国、日本的安全,但在美国陷入困境,在需要这些盟友出兵保护霍尔穆兹海峡自由通行的小事情上,都拒绝向美国提供帮助。特朗普对美国这些蒲从国感到无比失望,抨击这些被美国保护的盟友忘恩负义。 欧洲国家在远离伊朗战争,拒绝卷入霍尔木兹海峡浑水,让狂妄自大的特朗普颜面扫地。特朗普威胁要退出北约,称北约将面临非常糟糕的未来。 特朗普称美国已彻底摧毁了伊朗武装力量,伊朗战争将很快结束,美国将不再需要,也不再指望北约国家的帮助。美国不需要任何国家的帮助,美国不需要在已经赢得伊朗战争的局面下,再得到欧洲国家马后炮的支持。 特朗普还在嘴硬,美国不可能打赢伊朗战争,美国现在已经深陷在伊朗战争泥潭中,无法脱身了。

特朗普提出霍尔木兹海峡的护航,法国、日本、韩国表态不会参与,之后,其他的一些盟友也做出相应的表态, 欧盟的相关的负责人说到,这不是欧盟的事情,不是欧洲的事情, 德国说这不是北约的事情,英国说也不会参与。霍尔木兹海峡的平安需要有多种的手段, 澳大利亚也表示拒绝,而韩国呢,还国内举行了这种抗议。怎么看这事我是三点,第一,特朗普确实着急了,您看特朗普抱怨说,这些盟友我给你们提供那么多的帮忙, 我让你们免受外部的威胁,结果我需要的时候你们不积极,很生气。又说到北约,我早就说过他是个单行道,你看乌克兰事上我给你们提供了那么多的帮助,结果呢?你们现在袖手旁观,你们如此的不积极。 从中可以看到,当特朗普提出霍尔穆德海峡护航联盟呼吁的时候,很多的国家不够积极,没有明确的表态,这特朗普是心里面特别的着急, 而着急的背后说明特朗普凭借美国一己之力,很难来确保霍尔木兹海峡的这种通行, 很难很快的结束对伊朗的这种战争,而且呢,伊朗方面也提出了相应的要求,要确保你不去侵略, 当然也提到了要赔等等相关的一些问题。第二点,那么这些盟友为什么会拒绝霍尔木兹海峡的这个护航呢?你要知道,霍尔木兹海峡目前这种状态, 对很多的国家都产生一些重大的一些影响,这也是特朗普施压欧洲、亚洲这些国家参与霍尔木兹海峡护航的原因所在,但是他们之所以不愿意积极, 一个是就是他们派军队去护航,也很难来确保霍尔木兹海峡的这种安全通行。我原来说过伊朗呢,对霍尔木兹海峡,因为他是特别近的,他随便发射导弹,普通的导弹无人机就可以构成这种威胁。你说你派军队 然后去护航能够起到多大作用?是一个打个问号。那另一方面呢,就是一旦派军队去护航,那就明确的站在了特朗普的这边,美以的这边,那么也就意味着伊朗呢,可能对这些国家相关的一些资产进行打击, 那显然现在是战争,那不是轻而易举,我就直接表态的。那第三点,那接下来会不会有先人的盟友去派军舰去参与呢?我觉得这个是值得观察的。 为什么这样去讲呢?因为美国呀,他毕竟具有很强的支配的地位,像很多的一些国家,他就不具备相关的自主权,不管是外交上还是军事上, 那另一方面呢,也会取决于。哎,对伊朗的这场战争到底会打几周,你看以色列就说到了可能会有几周的时间,美国呢,也可能会说到会有几周的时间, 那么它取决于这种战事的这种发展,然后再拿捏好相应的利益平衡,以及相关事态发展的一个判断。

特朗普抱怨盟友不帮忙德英、奥义韩等国纷纷表态。三月十六日,美国总统特朗普在白宫的一场活动中,再次呼吁其他国家协助保障库尔木斯海峡航行安全,并抱怨部分盟友对向美国提供支持并不热心。 think about it and some are in some countries that we've helped for many many years。 德国、英国、意大利拒绝参与在霍尔木兹海峡的军事行动,表示不会参与护航行动。澳大利亚表示不会派遣海军舰艇前往霍尔木兹海峡。韩公民团体同样反对向霍尔木兹海峡派兵。

事实证明,美国在此次中东乱局中看中的不是军事上的胜利,而是市场的反应。当地时间十七日,美媒爆料称,白宫正通过私下渠道恳求盟友支持。他们承诺特朗普总统不在乎具体贡献,只需要讲几句场面话,稳住全球能源市场就行。 美国人没想到,即便是如此卑微的要求,盟友也不愿意满足。德国总理默辞,英国首相斯塔默、欧盟外长卡拉斯相近表态,这不是我们的战争,无论发生什么都不会参战。当着全球媒体的面,特朗普极度破防,再次威胁退出北约。他说,白宫不需要国会同意,就可以做出这个决定。 在特朗普看来,美国为北约各成员国提供了几十年的安全保护,从未获得收益,以后美国将只保护那些尽职尽责的国家。他所说的职责是指各国大幅提升军费开支,买美国的武器装备,让军工复合体赚钱。现 现在他是这么说的,时间倒退十年也是这么说。二零一六年参加总统大选时,特朗普曾宣称北约已经过时,威胁不履行集体防御条款。他首次谈及退出,是在二零一八年七月北约峰会结束后的记者会上。据美媒报道,二零一八年前年特朗普多次私下表态想退出北约。他的原话是,看不到美国作为成员国的意义, 从来都是我们保护欧洲,而不是欧洲保护我们。这话放在当时确实说的通,不仅美国不需要保护,每年维持在欧洲的军事基地和设施也是一大笔开销。现在中东打起来,美国真的需要保护了,盟友又不准备出兵,属于间接证实特朗普的担忧。可问题是,他想退出北约,真的可以绕过国会吗?美国政坛的建制派们早就想到这一层。 二零一九年一月,中医院以三百五十七对二十二的压倒型优势通过北约支持法案,明确禁止总统单方面退出北约,经特朗普本人签署生效。二零二三年七月的国防授权法案再次要求美国退出北约,必须获得参议院三分之二票数的绝对多数同 意。未经许可,任何行政分支不得为退约行动拨款及草该条款的人,正是时任参议员、现在的国五卿卢比奥。这两部成文法就像两道防火墙,锁死了特朗普单方面退出北约的可能性。 哪怕他是美国历史上权力最大的总统,也无法用白宫的行政权压倒国会的立法权。从实操层面分析,特朗普作为三军统帅,可以命令五角大楼撤回驻欧美军,停止和共享,甚至放弃指挥体系, 让北约陷入世事上的瘫痪。但以上所有行动都需要国会拨款,总统行政令遍布钱来。特朗普之所以会这么说,无非是拿退出北约来当极限施压的工具,测试盟友的反应。 首个人气内,他的类似表态曾在盟友圈子里引发恐慌。欧洲被迫对美国做出各种让步,但同样的招数再来第二次,效果已经大不如前。英、法、德等国愤怒的点在于,特朗普动手前没跟他们通过气,发现打不过才咬人下场。这不是对待盟友的方式,而是对待服从。 欧洲各国在明面上不敢过于激烈的谴责美国,但以拖带变的胆子还是有的,他们希望油价继续上涨,迫使特朗普稳定市场,把目光放得更远一些。欧洲各国还在等特朗普出掉中期选举, 着民主党夺回国会两院,阻止特朗普胡来。早在去年,他对欧洲打响官宣战,冯德莱恩等人就在私下商议先答应特朗普的条件,在执行层面上拖延,一直拖到他忍气结束。现在回头看,这是一个明智的决定, 他们在官宣战上是这么做的,这次的中东半局也是一个倒立,美国和以色列又没办法单独答应这一仗,如今的特朗普不能说是重返尽力,至少也可以说是被盟友孤立。至于国际油价涨到多少,特朗普才会下令退兵。据白宫消息人士透露,五角大楼已经在给总统制定退出方案了。

we strongly encourage the other nations to get involved with us and get involved quickly and with great enthusiasm uh, i have that from a number of them and i'd like to say their names but frankly i don't know if they would want me to or not because uh maybe they don't want to be targeted, but i say wouldn't matter if you're targeted or not because this is a paper tiger that we're dealing with now it wasn't a paper tiger two weeks ago it's a paper tiger now some are very enthusiastic about it and some are in some countries that we've helped for many many years we protected them from horrible outside sources and they weren't that enthusiastic and the level enthusiasm the matters to me we have some countries where we have 45 thousand soldiers great soldiers protecting them from harm's way and we have done a great job and when we want to know do you have any mine sweepers well, would rather not get involved sir, i said for you mean for 40 years we're protecting you and you don't want to get involved in something that is very minor and i've always felt that was a weakness of nato we were gonna protect them, but i always said when in need they won't protect us now this is in need need would be one of the big boys, but i will say that we built the greatest military in the world and we protect people and if we need their mind boats or if we need anything any piece of apparatus that they may have because of a situation that they have they should be jumping to help us because we've helped them for years stay out of wars。

some are very enthusiastic about it and some aren't we strongly encourage you other nations to again involved with us and get involved quickly and with great enthusiasm i have that from a number of i don't have a full on backup plan if they keep rising i will have to close my doors。

we strongly encourage the other nations to get involved with us and get involved quickly and with great enthusiasm uh, i have that from a number of them and i'd like to say the names but frankly i don't know if they would want me to or not because uh maybe they don't want to be targeted, but i say wouldn't matter if you target it or not because this is a paper tiger that we're dealing with now it wasn't a paper tiger two weeks ago, it's a paper tiger now uh, some are very enthusiastic about it and some are in some countries that we've helped for many many years uh, we've protected them from horrible outside sources and they weren't that enthusiastic and the level enthusiasm of enthusiasm it matters to me we have some countries when we have forty five thousand soldiers great soldiers protecting them from harm's way and we have done a great job and when we want to know do you have any mind sweepers well would rather not get involved sir, i said for you mean for 40 years we're protecting you and you don't want to get involved in something that is very minor and i've always felt that was a weakness of nato we were gonna protect them, but i always said when in need they won't protect us now this is it need need would be one of the big boys, but i will say that uh we built the greatest military in the world and we protect people and if we need their mind boats, or if we need anything any piece of apparatus that they may have because of a situation that they have they should be jumping to help us because we've helped them for years stay out of work。

美国和伊朗的冲突持续升级,美国计划组建霍尔木兹海峡护航联盟,施压欧洲、亚洲盟友派军舰参与,结果却惨遭了集体的冷处理。欧盟、德国、英国、澳大利亚纷纷明确拒绝,暂无异国公开响应。特朗普当场发飙, 抱怨盟友不帮忙,甚至威胁北约未来前景。他表示,美国长期保护盟友,如今自己需要支持,却遭到了消极对待,似乎北约是单行道,但各国态度异常统一。欧盟直言,这不是欧洲的战争,不扩展护航 德国明确不参与任何军事行动,北约是防御联盟,英国表态,不卷入中东战争,通航没那么简单。澳大利亚说,不派军舰已做好了经济危机的准备。韩国民间强烈反对,政府不敢轻举妄动。另一边呢?霍尔木兹海峡航运近乎中断,全球能源大动脉告急, 美国石油巨头紧急喊话,要求尽快恢复通航来打压油价,否则油价将继续暴涨,成品油短缺。但白宫官员坦言,现在没什么好办法,伊朗态度更是强硬,从未要求停停火,从未要求谈判 自卫到底。总统直言,不保证不再侵略,谈结束战争毫无意义,护航联盟搞不起来,海峡不通航,油价压不住,局势彻底陷入僵局啊!全球能源、通胀、股市继续沉压!

we strongly encourage the other nations to get involved with us and get involved quickly and with great enthusiasm i have that from a number of them and i'd like to say their names but frankly i don't know if they would want me to or not because maybe they don't want to be targeted, but i say wouldn't matter if you're targeted or not because this is a paper tiger that we're dealing with now it wasn't a paper tiger, two weeks ago it's a paper tiger now uh, some are very enthusiastic about it and some are in some countries that we've helped for many many years uh, we've protected them from horrible outside sources and they weren't that enthusiastic and the level enthusiasm of enthusiasm it matters to me we have some countries when we have forty five thousand soldiers great soldiers protecting them from harm's way and we have done a great job and when we want to know do you have any mine sweepers well would rather not get involved sir, i said for you mean for 40 years we're protecting you and you don't want to get involved in something that is very minor and i've always felt that was a weakness of nato we were gonna protect them, but i always said when in need they won't protect us now this is in need need would be one of the big boys, but i will say that uh we built the greatest military in the world and we protect people and if we need their mind boats, or if we need uh anything any piece of apparatus that they may have because of a situation that they have uh they should be jumping to help us cause we've helped them for years stay out of words yep。