deliberate attacks on civilian infrastructure violate the gymnaeva conventions and international law who you with i'm with the new york times are you feeling the feeling are you concerned way down at the new york time are you concerned that your threat to bomb power plants and bridges amount to i hope i don't have to do it and because they're not gonna have a nuclear weapon quite quite quite you're no longer have credibility to new york times。
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we're giving them we're giving them till tomorrow eight, o'clock, eastern time and after that they gonna have no bridges, they gonna have no power plants very little as often are there certain kinds of civilian targets though i'm thinking i don't want to tell you that i don't want to tell you that we have we have a plan because of the power of our military where every bridge in iran will be decimated by 12 o'clock tomorrow night where every power plant in iran will be out of business burning exploding and never to be used again i mean complete demolition by 12 o'clock and it'll happen over a period of four hours if we wanted to us charging tolls about us judging codes is that something here considering i'd rather do that then let them have them run why shouldn't we with the winner we won okay they are militarily defeated we have to have a deal that's acceptable to me and part of that deal is gonna be we want free traffic of oil and everything else。

美国总统特朗普声称能在四小时之内针对伊朗的主要大型桥梁和重要的发电站进行全方位的摧毁。客观来讲,美国确实有针对伊朗这种大型技术设施进行全面轰炸的能力,即便不派出战术飞机进入到伊朗的空域, 呃,美军呢,也可以使用战略轰炸机,比如说 bb 枪击兵, b 五十二 h, 包括 bra, 幽灵三种战略轰炸机,在远离伊朗的空域发射远射程的空射巡航导弹,针对发电站和 其他的啊这种基础设施进行精准的火力打击,林肯号航母打击群当中的宙斯顿战舰也可以发射战斧式巡航导弹和 轰炸机进行空海一体化的远程活力袭击。那么伊朗啊,现在的防空体系不足以针对所有的重要桥梁和发电站进行全方位的保护,一旦美军针对伊朗具有战略属性的基础设施进行全方 方位的轰炸,中东地区的战士必然会升级,那么伊朗的反击的手段也会进一步的升级,包括呢,针对以色列,伊朗可能也会发射更多的弹道导弹和自杀式的无人机, 那么双方想要进行谈判,难度就会变得更大。可以说呢,目前美国和伊朗提出的谈判条件还是有很大差距的,尤其是美国提出 伊朗完全的放弃和技术的研发能力和开发能力,甚至呢,要限制伊朗的导弹能力,伊朗是很难答应这些条件的。此外呢,伊朗也提出了条件,一方面呢,要求中东地区所有的战士 必须都要彻底的结束,而且呢,不仅仅是要签一个停火协议,必须要有长久持续的这样的一个和平,目前来看美国也很难做出这种承诺。还有呢,伊朗方面也提出针对霍尔木兹海峡,他要有一定的控制权,也就是说呢,恢复通航之后,伊朗呢, 要针对霍尔木兹海峡通行的船只,尤其是货轮和游轮要有一定的管辖能力。呃,这和美国要求的要全方位无条件的开放霍尔木兹海峡也是存在差距的。所以说呢,而伊朗方面和美国方面现在呢,只是进行了信息的互换和间接的接触,目前来看冲突可能还会持续一段时间。 是呢,双方他在啊这个升级冲突方面可能都要进行谨慎的决策,都是在你打醋坛通过啊,这种,呃,强有力的攻击以及强有力的反击是试图迫使对方啊,在这个谈判条件或者是停火条件方面做出逐个让。

bird attacks on civilian infrastructure violate the gymnaevagin of conventions and international lot who you with i'm with the new york times are you feeling are you concerned way down at the new york time are you concerned that you're threat to bomb power plants and bridges amount of times i hope i don't have to do it and because they're not gonna have a nuclear weapon and if somebody that takes my place someday is weak and ineffective which possibly that will happen because we had numerous presence that were weak ineffective and a fate afraid of around we never gonna let iran have a nuclear weapon you've said iranians would be mad if you stopped these attacks but why would they want you to blow up their infrastructure to cut off their power? they would be willing to they would be and it suffering they would be willing to suffer that that in order to have freedom and these are people that are living where the bombs are exploding and when we leave and we're not hitting those areas they say please come back, come back, come back! these are the people i don't know what they do all i can tell you is they want freedom。

美国高调救出两名飞行员后,特朗普在社交媒体上对伊朗破口打骂,并发帖下达最后期限, 怕大家搞糊涂了,他特地说美国东部时间四月七日晚上八点是最后期限,否则他要把伊朗的大桥和发电厂都炸掉。特朗普为什么如此气急败坏?为什么最后期限一变再变?过了一个假期,信息量有点多,今天用大白话说给你听。 首先来说说特朗普为什么如此的奇迹百化,我觉得最直接的原因就是美军过去一周在伊朗已经损失了多架飞机, 特朗普口中的伊朗已经没有防空力量,这些海口是一次次的被打脸,最关键的是美军飞行员还掉在了伊朗境内。美国惊险大救援,好在是飞行员救回来了,不然特朗普只能是更没面子。说到这个救援, 大家相信一定看的是云里雾里,不知道该相信哪一边的说法,甚至很多美国人都在网上说,这一次觉得伊朗发布的消息可能比美国更具有可信度。我综合了美国媒体、伊朗媒体、国内官方媒体的信息,给大家梳理还原这次美军的惊险赢。 首先来看伊朗防空部队三日宣布击落一架美军 f 十五亿战斗机,两名飞行员跳伞逃生,美军救走了第一名飞行员,但是第二名武器操作官却是下落不明, 美国开始大规模进入伊朗进行搜救,不巧的是,在搜救的过程中啊,一架 a 十攻击机被伊朗击中,飞行员是驾驶着受损的飞机强行离开了伊朗的领空,到了科威特才是被迫跳伞。根据美国白宫的消息,美国派出了一百五十多架飞机参与营救跳伞飞行员,我现在说的都 都是根据美国媒体的报道,美军当时在伊朗的一个农村简易跑道上开辟了一个前沿的指挥部,用大型运输机把小型的直升机和战斗装备运到前方,然后再开展营救行动,最终在两千多米的高山的山脊上找到了这名跳伞的飞行员。 但是由于撤离的时候运输机发生故障,所以美军乘坐备用飞机撤离,同时为了保密和防止技术落到伊朗手中,美军自己炸毁了飞机。听起来是不是非常的好莱坞大片的既视感,但是现实真正的营救远比爽片要危险的许多。 再来看看伊朗的版本,伊朗表示飞机是被伊朗的武装部队的火力摧毁的,而且美军的营救行动失败了,并公布了飞机在地面的残骸。根据现场的视频啊,我说一下我自己的判断,不代表任何机构,供大家参考。 现场应该是进行了相对激烈的交火,美军被伊朗打的不轻,说明美国口中完全控制伊朗领空的说法纯属吹牛。 但是呢,美军也相应的救出了飞行员,算是个比较理想的结果,如果美军飞行员要是被伊朗抓去了,那么特朗普面临的将是灾难性的后果,这也是为什么特朗普要冒着巨大的风险,不惜一切代价去营救。 之后特朗普大怒,似乎对此也有了合理的解释,那么特朗普口中的最后期限我们应该怎么理解呢?美国和伊朗还有谈判吗?我觉得对这个谈判的理解应该分为两方面, 一方面是明面上的由巴基斯坦作为中间的传话人进行谈判,基本上就是互相传话,而且伊朗人也看清楚了,美国人没有信用,一边谈一边就会发动攻击, 所以这个谈判说白了更多的就是双方信息交换的一个渠道,实际的作用非常有限。另一方面我觉得双方都在为最后期限的大决战做准备。美国部队的集结应该差不多了,目前有超过三万美军在中东地区, 美国政府也不断放出信号,说要把伊朗扎成石器时代,包括对伊朗大桥发电厂等民用设施的打击。 在特朗普眼里啊,什么国际法都不管用,强权才是真理。伊朗方面是回应了美方通过巴基斯坦传达的停战提议,伊朗提出了十点诉求,比如说霍尔木兹海峡通过要收费永久的停火等等,这些看起来都不像美国人能够答应的。 伊朗实际上也是做了相关的准备的,只要美国炸伊朗,炸这些大桥发电厂,伊朗就会炸海湾国家和以色列的发电厂,海水蛋黄厂, 反正就是鱼死网破。比起明面上谈判,我觉得更应该关注一下背后关于霍尔木兹海峡收费的暗地里的较量。特朗普说,重新开放霍尔木兹海峡必须成为结束冲出方案的一部分。特朗普还说美国赢了,所以应该是美国,而不是伊朗对通过海峡的船只进行收费。 不过事实上国际上对霍尔木兹海峡收费仪式,大家明面上都没有表态,但是相信没有国家会愿意为此买单的。最后期限的时间马上就要到了,大家都悬着一颗心,到底是特朗普的再次塌口,还是中东陷入最后的疯狂,咱们再谈再报!

attacks on civilian infrastructure violate the gymnee, virgin of conventions and international lock who you with i'm with the new york time are you feeling are you concerned way down at the new york? are you concerned that your threat to bomb power plants and bridges amount of times i hope i don't have to do it and because they're not gonna have a nuclear weapon and if somebody that takes my place someday is weak and ineffective which possibly that will happen because we had numerous presence that will weak ineffective and afraid afraid of our own we never gonna let iran have a nuclear weapon you've said iranians would be mad if you stopped in these attacks, but why would they want you to blow up their infrastructure to cut off their power? they would be willing to they would be and it suffering they would be willing to suffer that in order to have freedom and these are people that are living where the bombs are exploding and when we leave and we're not hitting those areas they say please come back, come back, come back! these are the people i don't know what they do all i can tell you is they want freedom。

attacks on civilian infrastructure violate the gymnaevakin of conventions and international law who you with i'm with the neuron time are you feeling are you concerned way down at the new york? are you concerned that your threat to bomb power plants and bridges amount of times? no, no, no i hope i don't have to do it and because they're not gonna have a nuclear weapon and if somebody that takes my place someday is weak and ineffective which possibly that will happen because we had numerous presence so weak ineffective and a fate afraid of our own we're never gonna let iran have a nuclear weapon you've said iranians would be mad if you stopped these attacks but why would they want you to blow up their infrastructure to cut off their power? they would be willing to they would be and it suffering they would be willing to suffer that in order to have freedom and these are people that are living where the bombs are exploding and when we leave and we're not hitting those areas they're saying please come back, come back, come back! these are the people i don't know what they do all i can tell you is they want freedom。

attacks on civilian infrastructure violate the gymnaevakin of conventions and international law who you with i'm with the new york time are you feeling are you concerned way down at the new york? are you concerned that your threat to bomb power plants and bridges amount of times i hope i don't have to do it and because they're not gonna have a nuclear weapon and if somebody that takes my place someday is weak and ineffective which possibly that will happen because we had numerous presence that will weak ineffective and afraid afraid of around we never gonna let iran have a nuclear weapon you've said iranians would be mad if you stopped these attacks but why would they want you to blow up their infrastructure to cut off their power they would be willing to and it suffering they would be willing to suffer that in order to have freedom and these are people that are living where the bombs are exploding and when we leave and we're not hitting those areas they say please come back, come back, come back! these are the people i don't know what they do all i can tell you is they want freedom。

deliberate attacks on civilian infrastructure violate the gymnaeva conventions and international law who you with i'm with the new york times filling the filling are you circulation way down at the new york times are you going over that your threat to bomb power plants and bridges amount of plants i hope i don't have to do it and because they're not gonna have a nuclear weapon and if somebody that takes my place someday is weak and ineffective which possibly that will happen because we had numerous presence so we're weak ineffective and a fate afraid of our own we're never gonna let iran have a nuclear weapon you've said iranians would be mad if you stopped in these attacks, but why would they want you to blow up their infrastructure to cut off their power? they would be willing to they would be and it suffering they would be willing to suffer that in order to have freedom and these are people that are living where the bombs are exploding and when we leave and we're not hitting those areas they're saying please come back, come back, come back, these are the people。

we were alarmed by the rhetoric seen in that social media post that threatened american attacks on power plants, bridgers and other infrastructure should iran uh not agree to a deal they they would constitute violations of international law and i think whether something is a crime or not a crime would have to be decided by a court, but they any attack on civilian infrastructure is a violation of international law and a very clear one。

we're giving them we're giving them till tomorrow eight, o'clock, eastern time and after that they're gonna have no bridges they're gonna have no power plants very little as often are there certain kinds of civilian targets though i'm thinking i don't want to tell you that i don't want to tell you that we have we have a plan because of the power of our military where every bridge in iran will be decimated by 12 o'clock tomorrow night where every power plant in iran will be out of business burning exploding and never to be used again i mean complete demolition by 12 o'clock and it'll happen over a period of four hours if we wanted to us charging tolls around what about about us judging because that's something you're considering i'd rather do that then let them have them right why shouldn't we with a winner we won okay they are militarily defeated we have to have a deal that's acceptable to me and part of that deal is gonna be we want free traffic of oil and everything up。

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we're giving them we're giving them to tomorrow 8 o'clock eastern time and after that they gonna have no bridges, they gonna have no power plants very little is often are there certain kinds of civilian targets though i'm thinking i don't want to tell you that i don't want to tell you that we have we have a plan because of the power of our military with every bridge in iran will be decimated by twelve o'clock tomorrow night where every power plant in iran will be out of business burning exploding and never to be used again i mean complete demolition by twelve o'clock and it'll happen over a period of four hours if we wanted to。

we're giving them we're giving them till tomorrow eight, o'clock, eastern time and after that they're gonna have no bridges they're gonna have no power plants very little is often are there certain kinds of civilian targets though i'm thinking i don't want to tell you that i don't want to tell you that we have we have a plan because of the power of our military where every bridge in iran will be decimated by 12 o'clock tomorrow night where every power plant in iran will be out of business burning exploding and never to be used again i mean complete demolition by 12 o'clock and it'll happen over a period of four hours if we wanted to us charging tolls what about us judging though is that something you're considerate i'd rather do that and let them have them right why shouldn't we wear the winner we won they are militarily defeated we have to have a deal that's acceptable to me and part of that deal is gonna be we want free traffic of oil and everything up。